Elections Tracker: 2026 US Midterms, Canada and BC Results, Election Calendar
Free, neutral elections tracker: the 2026 US midterms with every House, Senate and governor race priced by Polymarket and Kalshi, a build-your-own-outcome seat map, Canada's 2025 federal election and today's House of Commons, British Columbia's 2024 and 2026 elections with seats-versus-votes and majority tools, and a calendar of upcoming elections worldwide with sources.
Neutral by design. Official results and the prediction markets’ own prices, side by side, with every source linked. MES does not make forecasts, rate races or back any party; colours are each party’s usual colour. Market prices are traders’ bets, not polls and not facts .
Build your own outcome
Every race starts on the side its market prices highest (or blank, if you prefer). Click a seat, a state or a race to choose the winner yourself, slide every race toward one side, and see who controls the chamber.
The markets on the big questions
Results on election night
There is no free, open feed of live US results: the Associated Press and Decision Desk HQ, which most news sites use, sell theirs. Each state publishes its own count on its election website. From the evening of 3 November, this page marks a race as settled once its Polymarket market has settled (the market’s reading of the result, not an official one) and keeps showing prices for the rest. Official, certified results come from the states in the weeks after.
Context
Seats now
New House maps in 2026
Major national elections worldwide, every Canadian province and territory, and the US. Dates checked on against official or published sources (linked). Where the law sets only a deadline the row says so .
Recent results (2026)
Sources and their status
A free, neutral elections tracker
MES Elections follows the 2026 US midterm elections (all 435 House seats, 35 Senate seats and 36 governors on Tuesday 3 November 2026), Canada’s 2025 federal election and today’s House of Commons, the British Columbia elections of 2024 and 2026, and a calendar of upcoming elections around the world. It shows official results and the prediction markets’ own prices next to each other, links every source, and lets you test “what if” questions yourself: flip any race, shift every race at once, see how many seats would follow the vote under proportional representation, or which parties together reach a majority.
Where the numbers come from
Race-by-race and chamber-control prices: Polymarket (every House, Senate and governor market) and Kalshi (House and Senate control), refreshed about every five minutes. Seats held today and the lists of incumbents and open seats: the Office of the Clerk of the House, Senate and state sources as summarised by Wikipedia and Ballotpedia (checked 27 October 2026). Canada: Elections Canada’s validated results of 28 April 2025 and the House of Commons’ live party standings. British Columbia: Elections BC (2024 final results; the 2026 count live from its results site). The calendar: each country’s electoral authority or law, or published reports of them, linked row by row.
What this page does not do
It does not forecast. There is no MES model, no “lean” or “toss-up” rating and no polling average. The seat counts in the builder only count the side each market prices highest, or the side you chose; adding up the race prices is labelled as plain arithmetic.
Questions
When do polls close on 3 November 2026?
The first polls close at 6 pm Eastern (23:00 UTC) in parts of Indiana and Kentucky; the last at 1 am Eastern in western Alaska. Close races, mail ballots and states that count slowly can take days. Louisiana’s House races go to a second round on 12 December under its new map, and Georgia holds runoffs when no candidate passes 50%.
How many seats does a party need?
House: 218 of 435. Senate: 51 of 100, or 50 plus the Vice President’s tie-breaking vote (the Vice President is JD Vance, a Republican). Governors are not a chamber; the count of 50 is shown for comparison.
Why can the market favourites and the control odds disagree?
Each race market and the control market trade separately, with different traders and amounts of money. Races are also linked (a good night for one party usually lifts it everywhere), which counting favourites one by one cannot show. That is why the page shows both, and the “shift every race” slider lets you see how many races change hands if the markets are off in one direction.
Why does the Canada page offer a proportional “what if”?
Canada elects one member per riding, so seat shares can differ from vote shares. Applying a nationwide proportional formula to the actual votes shows how big that gap is. It is only a comparison: under a different system parties would campaign differently and people might vote differently.
Is anything stored about me?
No account and no personal data. Your race choices are kept in your browser’s own storage and in the link only when you copy one.